Ukraine - Superthread

[NavyShooter]

Interesting. Everyone talks about '8km' advance being not much, and being so slow/slogging/etc. That new map shows about 15km now, and I think perhaps the 'slowly...slowly....quickly' may be arriving.

Saw the info about a new line of trenches and dragons teeth obstacles being built in the SE a few km back from the front. That should not be a surprise in any way, as the RUS forces fall back, they'll be preparing new spots to try and hold.

 

[Kirkhill]

Bottom of the barrel https://x.com/defmon3/status/1700996350429868067?s=46&t=fCYJdxwzyypPWGOhHnLHLw

You can feel the "Oh shit...."

 

[KevinB]

Quickly may be arriving sooner than later.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1700943531982876803

 

[KevinB]

I strongly recommend taking the time to read (and use the integral translator)

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1700847684343447634

It is a multiple post thread, but he gives good insight into what is required to move forward.

 

[KevinB]

Sad and stark reminder of what Russia is doing

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1701218967510036534

 

[Czech_pivo]

DeepStateMAP | Map of the war in Ukraine

News of Russia's war against Ukraine on the map

deepstatemap.live

Question - would it make sense for the Ukrainians to try and push 4-5km deep wedge between Nerterianka and Kopani in the North-East part of this map? If successful would this force the Russians abandon Neterianka, Kopani and maybe Novoprokovina as it would start to be flanked?

I know looking 5,000 miles away at a map that may or may not be accurate is an easy thing to do.

 

[KevinB]

Seems the ATACMS decision assisted the Germans on Taurus -- I suspect the Germans will actually delivery it long before we deliver ATACMS sadly....

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1701238082257764614

 

[KevinB]

DeepStateMAP | Map of the war in Ukraine

News of Russia's war against Ukraine on the map

deepstatemap.live

Question - would it make sense for the Ukrainians to try and push 4-5km deep wedge between Nerterianka and Kopani in the North-East part of this map? If successful would this force the Russians abandon Neterianka, Kopani and maybe Novoprokovina as it would start to be flanked?

I know looking 5,000 miles away at a map that may or may not be accurate is an easy thing to do.

I think part of that question is answered above in the post I linked from Martinn 's Twitter, specifically his post 10-12.
I think that the AFU wants to bleed out the Russians as best as they can around the pocket, facing Russia to commit the forces they have there.

I am unsure what Ukraine has that is not already engaged in Zapp - they have 4 different penetration areas in that Oblast.
From East to West:
1) Towards Hrozove
2) Towards Nerterianka
3) The largest one towards Novoprokovina
4) Between Zahrine and Dorozhnayanka (towards Polohy)

 

[KevinB]

Meanwhile apparently it's news that for an OS new brief where a reporters can take pictures that OS new might be used...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1700922389075272086

 

[TacticalTea]

Do we know what came of that Ukrainian amphibious assault in, I think it was, Kherson region? Kazechi laheri area I believe?

 

[KevinB]

Garage shop fail...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1700984170259116531

 

[KevinB]

Do we know what came of that Ukrainian amphibious assault in, I think it was, Kherson region? Kazechi laheri area I believe?

It was a raid, and extracted after doing it's thing (a few S-400's and the new Russian OTH radar)

 

[KevinB]

Again it appears that the RuAF has again targeted relief works directly

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1700969424046395568

 

[KevinB]

Russia trying to mobilize up to 700k new meat sticks.

General Staff: Russians to mobilize up to 700,000 soon

According to Ukraine's General Staff, the Kremlin is about to start a large-scale forced mobilization in Russia proper and the occupied territories of Ukraine, targeting to conscript 400,000-700,000 people.

euromaidanpress.com

 

[KevinB]

Meanwhile Russia haven't not been rebuked for Nuclear warnings in a week or so, decides to go down that path again...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1701179550871302395

 

[KevinB]

Russia targeted civilian ships but missiles where shot down by Ukrainian AD

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1701273232987308244

 

[KevinB]

Beware the False Prophets of War

Why have the experts been so persistently wrong?

www.theatlantic.com

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Well it looks like the AFU have decided on CV-90

https://x.com/anno1540/status/1701126109616611710?s=46&t=fCYJdxwzyypPWGOhHnLHLw

Hopefully Canada takes note.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Interesting. Everyone talks about '8km' advance being not much, and being so slow/slogging/etc. That new map shows about 15km now, and I think perhaps the 'slowly...slowly....quickly' may be arriving.

Saw the info about a new line of trenches and dragons teeth obstacles being built in the SE a few km back from the front. That should not be a surprise in any way, as the RUS forces fall back, they'll be preparing new spots to try and hold.

I suspect the mining will not be as intense, so easier to breech.

 

[GK .Dundas]

Deliberately targetted...?
Personally I think you're giving the Russians far too much credit . After watching this war the last roughly 2 years . I suspect that targeting is at best haphazard and occasionally non existent.
I'd love to know what their blue on blue casualties really are. Wanna bet that even they're not sure themselves ?